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Home > Journal > Advance publication

Testing the Law of the Sea in the 2026 Iran War and the 2025-26 Venezuela Conflict: The Strait of Hormuz Crisis, State Conduct at Sea, and the Limits of UNCLOS and the Law of Naval Warfare

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J. Vercoe Rainbow
J. Vercoe Rainbow

Published 10 August 2026

Executive Summary

The Strait of Hormuz crisis of 2026, arising from the US-Israel military campaign against Iran, and the US military operations against Venezuela that began the previous year, raise some of the most complex and consequential legal questions in contemporary energy law. This article examines the law-of-the-sea and law-of-naval-warfare questions these events raise, in four parts. Section II considers the status of transit passage through the Strait under UNCLOS, the lawfulness of Iranian attacks on neutral shipping, the legality and continuing enforcement of the US naval blockade of Iranian ports, the legality of the sinking of the Iranian frigate IRIS Dena within Sri Lanka's exclusive economic zone, Iran's evolving toll regime and its bilateral negotiation with Oman over a possible Malacca-style fee, the compound violation raised by Iranian strikes on shipping inside Omani territorial waters, the legal basis for the European-led escort and mine-clearance mission and its dependence on the outcome of that same negotiation, and the legally distinct closure of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait by the non-state Houthi movement. Section III asks whether the seizure of foreign-flagged tankers carrying Venezuelan- and Iranian-linked crude is properly characterised as piracy, an analogous violation, or contested sanctions enforcement, identifies the fora in which that question might be tested, and examines the implications of the Trump administration's campaign to dismantle the International Criminal Court for that accountability route. Section IV evaluates the seizure of Venezuelan oil against the doctrine of permanent sovereignty over natural resources, weighing the sanctions-evasion and ‘shadow fleet’ conduct the United States has invoked to justify its own actions; considers the legality of the Maduro capture operation under the Article 2(4) prohibition on the use of force and the law of head-of-state immunity; and examines Operation Southern Spear, the sustained campaign of lethal strikes against suspected drug-trafficking vessels, against the threshold requirements for a non-international armed conflict and the law of armed conflict's shipwreck-protection obligations. Section V draws on econometric evidence of shipping-disruption risk to frame, and quantify, the scale of the resulting economic harm.

Section VI considers counterarguments, including the jus ad bellum justification the United States has advanced for the Iran war specifically, as distinct from the separate legal basis for its operation against Venezuela, and the consistency of its position on freedom of navigation elsewhere. Section VII sets out a reform agenda calibrated to the preceding analysis, combining international mechanisms, financial-centre asset recovery, and a contributory-causation methodology for damages claims.

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Suggested Citation

J. Vercoe Rainbow (2026, forthcoming) "Testing the Law of the Sea in the 2026 Iran War and the 2025-26 Venezuela Conflict: The Strait of Hormuz Crisis, State Conduct at Sea, and the Limits of UNCLOS and the Law of Naval Warfare"
(OGEL, ISSN 1875-418X) August 2026, www.ogel.org

"Advance publication" is the name given to material that is published ahead of its appearance in a regular structured issue of our Journal. It is also possible to monitor this via RSS. Subscribers will receive update alerts via e-mail of the published articles as soon as they have been added to the website.

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